The poll from Marquette Law School suggests Johnson, a. ", Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., speaks to supporters after arriving at an election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. This week . Follow her on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hausofcait. 2016: Johnson (R) +3.4|2010: Johnson (R) +4.9, Senate Map,Polls,Projection|House Map,Polls,GenericVote|Governor Map,Polls,Projection|2022,'24 Polls, Senate Map,Polls,Projection|House Map,Polls,Generic Ballot|Governor Map,Polls,Projection|2022,'24 Polls, RCP Average:Johnson +3.6RCP Ranking:Toss UpRCP Projection:GOP HoldKey 2022 Races:Governor|Senate|WI-3, 2020:President|WI-32018:Governor|Senate|WI-1|WI-32016:President|Senate|WI-82014:Governor|WI-6|WI-72012:President|Governor (Recall)|Senate|WI-7|WI-82010:Governor|Senate|WI-3|WI-7|WI-8, All Wisconsin Senate - Johnson vs. Barnes Polling Data. 2023 by Wisconsin Public Radio, a service of the Wisconsin Educational Communications Board and the University of Wisconsin-Madison. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson has won reelection to a third term, narrowly defeating Democratic Lt. Gov. Governor Mandela Barnes, left and US Senator Ron Johnson participate in the senate debate co-hosted by Marquette University and TMJ4 at Marquette University's Varsity Theatre at 1326 W.. The votes are in, Johnson said in an email statement that was released before NBC News and other news outlets made the call. The Associated Press calls the race for Johnson at 11:46 AM. Mandela Barnes, the lieutenant governor of . "No matter what anyone says, we are committed to making sure every vote is counted. As a senator, Johnson co-sponsored theLife at Conception Act enshrining a right to life or the right to life of each born and preborn human person in the Constitution and allowing equal protections at the moment of fertilization. However, he also said during the campaign that he would support a recently offered proposal to create a single-issue referendum that would allow Wisconsin voters to decide on the future of abortion rights in the state. "He's not in a place, in terms of his favorability and unfavorability numbers, where an incumbent senator would want to be," Chergosky said. Caitlin Yilek is a politics reporter for CBS News Digital. IE 11 is not supported. Top editors give you the stories you want delivered right to your inbox each weekday. The Most Interesting Articles, Mysteries and Discoveries. Johnson won his first Senate race in 2010, unseating Democratic Sen. Russ Feingold. Democrats had initially been hopeful that they could oust Johnson, who was increasingly defined by headlines over his statements on issues such as abortion, his perpetuation of dubious and unproven Covid treatments, and his ties to the Jan. 6 riot and fake elector plot to help throw the 2020 election to then-President Donald Trump. On Jan. 9, he announced a run for a third term, stating his decision to do so was based on a belief that "America is in peril. National media reports say the red wave that Republicans hoped for in this years midterm elections has been downgraded to more of a trickle. Meanwhile, 7 percent said they did not know who they would vote for, while 3 percent said they would vote for someone else, would not vote or refused to answer. When Johnson first ran for public office in 2010 and even during his first reelection bid, Chergosky said many voters hadn't yet formed an opinion. Those results weren't far off from a Marquette University Law School poll on Aug. 17, showing Barnes beating Johnson 51 percent to 44 percent among likely midterm voters. Poll: Ron Johnson widens lead over Mandela Barnes in Wisconsin Senate race The Marquette Law School survey has Johnson racking up support of 52 percent of likely voters compared with. Among those citing integrity as most important, Barnes won 54% of the vote, while among those saying a candidate who shares values with them is most important, 60% voted for Johnson. Market data provided by Factset. While Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes is narrowly preferred over incumbent Ron Johnson in the Wisconsin Senate race, Johnson's supporters have the enthusiasm. A new poll released Wednesday by Marquette University Law School shows 49 percent of voters support Johnson's reelection to a third term. Anthony Chergosky is an associate professor of political science at UW-La Crosse. Sign up for notifications from Insider! The Wisconsin Senate candidate Mandela Barnes speaks at a rally on Saturday in Milwaukee. Mandela Barnes offers his state's votes to nominate former Vice President Joe Biden as the Democratic nominee for president at the 2020 Democratic National Convention at the . Wisconsin has been viewed as a swing state in recent elections but has generally gone for Democratic presidential candidates in elections going back to 1988. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., poses for photos with supporters at a election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. Barnes to overcome his 27,374 vote deficit. "But what I will say, unfortunately, it's still so close. Mandela Barnes, CBS News is projecting Johnson the winner. Barnes led Johnson 49.4 percent to 47.1 percent. or redistributed. Lee said Johnson and Republican political action committees quickly launched attack ads aimed at Barnes painting him as a radical liberal that's out of touch with average Wisconsinites. Fully 50 percent of voters said the statement "does not describe" the senator, and just 39 percent said it described him correctly. Show us your political mailers! Mandela Barnes concedes US Senate race to Republican incumbent Ron Johnson, Evers has a slight lead over Michels in Wisconsin governor's race, per Marquette Law School poll, Ron Johnson calls for annual approval of Social Security, Medicare funding, Mandela Barnes to Milwaukee Rotary: Ron Johnson is a 'threat to the stability of this country', La Crosse Sheriff's captain denies endorsing Mandela Barnes in US Senate race, Madison Common Council eases limits on unrelated people renting homes together, From grocery store shelves to restaurant menus, food prices 10 percent higher than a year ago, Report: Inflation Reduction Act could bring over 24K jobs to Wisconsin over next decade, Evers proposes $750M for broadband expansion amid massive federal investment in high-speed internet, Evers proposes $3.8B in state building projects, Landowners sue Lac du Flambeau tribal leaders to reopen roads blocked for a month, Supreme Court candidate Janet Protasiewicz says she'd recuse herself in cases involving state Democratic Party, State lawmakers try again to allow DACA recipients to become police officers in Wisconsin, Dairy groups call new federal guidance for labeling plant-based milk alternatives a 'double-edged sword', Wisconsin Educational Communications Board. The Marquette Law School survey has Johnson racking up support of 52 percent of likely voters compared with Barnes 46 percent. US Congress; Getty; Marianne Ayala/Insider, Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - Wisconsin Senate - Johnson vs. Barnes Editor's note: WPR's Jonah Chester, Joe Schulz and Andrea Anderson contributed reporting to this story. New York City Mayor Dismisses Separation Of Church And State,Despite his vow to uphold the U.S. Constitution, Eric Adams said he "can't separate" his Christian beliefs from his public duties. Johnson, a former plastics company executive from Oshkosh, was first elected in 2010, defeating former Democratic U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold in a Republican-wave election. Feingold ran for his old seat in a 2016 rematch. Ukraine News. Mandela Barnes on Tuesday. Barnes' lead was within the polls' 2.9 percent margin of error. With 98 percent of votes counted, AP results showed Johnson defeating Barnes 50.5 percent to 49.5 percent. The Wisconsin Senate race is a virtual toss-up, with Republican Sen. Ron Johnson edging Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes within the margin of error in a Marquette University Law School poll. Stay informed with WPR's email newsletter. defeated former Democratic U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold, Democratic Lt. Gov. This race is over," Johnson said in the statement. The crowd in Neenah cheered to life again when Johnson took the stage just after 1 a.m. Johnson and Barnes spent much of their first televised debate, held on Friday, discussing abortion and crime. Some ads focused on positions Barnes had taken or statements he had made such as his support for ending cash bail and saying that reducing prison populations is now sexy while others made misleading claims about his tenure as the state's lieutenant governor, like accusing his administration of having paroled hundreds of violent offenders. At Johnson's election night watch party in Neenah, the crowd was in high spirits throughout the evening giving loud cheers as they watched Fox News election coverage of the race. Mandela Barnes. 'The most vulnerable Republican incumbent' The Barnes strategy is to define Johnson as a changed man, someone who went to Washington as an insurgent candidate but then enmeshed himself into the. (Photo by Three Lions/Hulton Archive/Getty Images) OAN Deven BerryhillUPDATED 6:45 PM PT - Monday, February 27, 2023 A well-known British newspaper recently . Union rep: Employees reporting illness after working on cleanup for East School culture wars fuel top House GOP bill, Watch live: White House monkeypox response team holds briefing, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Stay up to date with what you want to know. The Marquette Law Poll was conducted from Oct. 24 to Nov. 1 via landline and cell phone. Through late October, super PACs, politically active nonprofit organizations, and other non-candidate groups combined to spend an additional $112.9 million advocating for or against the candidates. In a possibly positive sign for Barnes, far more respondents to the poll said they viewed Johnson unfavorably. InWisconsin's Senate race between Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic Lt. Gov. The Republican incumbent had a slight lead in the closing weeks of the campaign, with a CBS News poll from October showing him with a one-point lead over Barnes, though other polls showed Johnson with a larger lead. Marquette Law School defines "likely voters" as those "who say they are certain to vote or who say they have already voted. Wisconsins gubernatorial race, meanwhile, has tightened: 47 percent of likely voters support incumbent Democratic Gov. Throughout the 2022 campaign cycle, Marquette polling showed a majority of respondents in Wisconsin had a negative view of Johnson. The margin of error for the poll's likely voters sample is plus or minus 4.8 percentage points. Wisconsin Governor Tony Evers is a Democrat who won the office in 2018. GOP Sen. Ron Johnson has won re-election to a third term in Wisconsin, NBC News projects, narrowly defeating Democrat Mandela Barnes. AP Photo/Mike Roemer. Approximately 50% of likely voters said they support Johnson in the race, compared to 48% for Barnes, according to the Marquette poll of 679 likely voters. Mandela Barnes on Tuesday. Hungry? The lieutenant governor and former State Assembly member is expected to face a difficult campaign as he seeks to unseat Johnson, who has served in the Senate since 2011. That ruling meant Wisconsins near-total abortion ban from 1849 went into effect over the summer. Barnes had also attempted to undercut Johnsons claims that he supports law enforcement by repeatedly pointing out that he downplayed the Jan. 6 riot, in which police were overrun and in some cases brutally beaten by a pro-Trump mob. Barnes was supported by 46 percent of registered Wisconsin voters, and the senator was backed by just 44 percent. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Lt. Gov. Besides Mandela and Ron, Gov Tony Evers, a nominee from the Democratic Party, and . Access your favorite topics in a personalized feed while you're on the go. Now, it's Barnes who is relatively unknown among Wisconsin voters. Johnson, a former plastics executive and political ally of former President Donald Trump, has long tacked to the right in his voting record while representing Wisconsin a swing state that nonetheless retains a robust conservative base. He is someone who cares about people like me." Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. Sen. Ron Johnson is leading Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes in a new poll of the Wisconsin Senate race released Wednesday. Only 1 percent of likely voters are still undecided in the gubernatorial race, according to the poll, which surveyed 652 likely voters in Wisconsin from Oct. 3 to Oct. 9 and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.8 percentage points. Stay informed with WPR's email newsletter. But, you know, I'm not going to declare victory until all the numbers are in. Part of the shift can be attributed to likely independent voters. It's official: Mandela Barnes has the best chance of anyone in this Senate primary to defeat Ron Johnson. "The votes are in," Johnson said in an email. You can follow him on Twitter @timothynerozzi and can email him at timothy.nerozzi@fox.com. Barnes, the current lieutenant governor of Wisconsin, leads Johnson 51% to 44%, up from a narrow two-point lead he held in June, when polls showed Barnes had the support of 46% voters in. Wisconsin Lt. Gov. For weeks, Wisconsin Republican Senator Ron Johnson and his allies have been running a set of attack ads against Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes about crime.One ad focuses on violent crime . Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson is running for reelection against Democratic Lt. Gov. A pedestrian walks by a sign in front of a polling location on Tuesday, April 5, 2022, in Milwaukee, Wis. Angela Major/WPR. In his order, Judge Juan Colas wrote that Wisconsin elections have been conducted for 56 years without a legally binding definition of what constitutes a witness address on a ballot. 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. Johnson was one of Trump's most ardent legislative supporters of the 2017 tax reform bill, which overhauled the tax code and repealed the Affordable Care Act's individual mandate. For questions or comments, contact WPRs Audience Services at 1-800-747-7444, email listener@wpr.org or use our Listener Feedback form. NBC News projects Sen. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin wins re-election, unrelenting attacks against Barnes on crime. Since then, Johnson has hired one of Wisconsin's 10 fake electors to work for his reelection campaign, and he's spent more than $20,000 for legal consultation with a Wisconsin law firm that assisted former President Donald Trump's efforts to overturn the state's 2020 election results. Wisconsin Mandela Barnes (D) vs. Ron Johnson (R) What do the House races . In response, Johnson said he would like to see Wisconsin's 1849 abortion ban changed to allow exemptions for instances of rape and incest. The 2018 Wisconsin gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018. The Democrat became the state's first Black lieutenant governor when he took office in 2019. In a general election match up, Mandela beats Ron Johnson by 2 points, more than any of his opponents. Barnes has citedformer President Barack Obama as his inspiration for entering politics. Only 16 percent had an unfavorable view of the Democratic lieutenant governor, compared with 46 percent who said the same of the GOP senator. . Johnson has downplayed the violent insurrection at the U.S. Capitol that day on Jan. 6, where Trump supporters assaulted Capitol police officers as they tried to stop Congress from certifying President Joe Biden's 2020 victory. Johnson has outperformed polls before, but political experts note added challenges this election cycle. A central Wisconsin food pantry grew fivefold during the pandemic. But a successful rebrand, as well as unrelenting attacks against Barnes on crime and criminal justice issues, appeared to help Johnson's standing among voters. The new poll shows 51% of independents likely to cast a vote support Johnson, compared with 45% backing Barnes. Above left, Johnson departs from the Senate chambers on July 21. Mandela Barnes concedes US Senate race to Republican incumbent Ron Johnson, Sarah Godlewski exits Democratic US Senate primary, clearing the path for Mandela Barnes, After clearing Democratic field in US Senate Race, Mandela Barnes faces toughest battle of political career, Evers proposes $750M for broadband expansion amid massive federal investment in high-speed internet, Evers proposes $3.8B in state building projects. Johnson won his first Senate race between republican Sen. 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